Watch your base: That's one of the most important lessons for the
Democratic Party after its drubbing on Election Day. In particular,
Democrats failed to turn out a key segment of their base, black
voters.
Black voters are the most loyal segment of the party. Ever since
Franklin Delano Roosevelt changed the face of the party, blacks have
voted Democrat at astounding rates, even though there is evidence
that they are getting less and less in return.
While Hispanics, women, older voters, union members and other
Democratic constituencies are increasingly splitting their votes
between the ''D's'' and the ''R's'', blacks continue to favor the
Democrats in -a given race by 10 to 1. In 2000, blacks voted for Al
Gore against George W. Bush 90 percent to 8 percent.
In close races, when black voters turn out in high numbers,
Democrats generally win. When they stay home, Democrats often
lose.
Therefore, the Democratic National Committee's failure to mount
an effective get-out-the-vote effort is astounding. Its failure to
articulate a compelling message before the elections is
embarrassing.
In Florida last week, Gov. Jeb Bush got 6 percent of the black
vote, his lowest share since his losing run for the statehouse in
1994, yet he won. But for Bill McBride, 94 percent of the black vote
was almost meaningless when just 43 percent of eligible black voters
went to the polls.
Of course, low black turnout alone didn't kill McBride's
candidacy. His lackluster campaign anesthetized the entire
Democratic base.
But if McBride couldn't get black voters to the polls to take
down a governor they loathe, then his chances of energizing other
parts of the Democratic electorate were slim and none. McBride
mistakenly ceded the black vote to a more-popular candidate, Janet
Reno. And while Reno stumped for McBride like crazy, his campaign
realized late in the game that it badly needed record turnout among
blacks -- not just Reno's endorsement.
McBride tried, albeit tardily, bringing in Jesse Jackson, calling
in radio host Tom Joyner and even bringing in the ''first black
president'' himself, Bill Clinton at the 11th hour.
But black voters saw through a man who had wasted no time
declaring victory over Reno in the disastrous September primary,
seemingly unconcerned about those who had been disfranchised by a
chaotic voting process.
But 11th-hour appeals aren't enough, especially when a candidate
hasn't been to the neighborhood before.
In Georgia, black voters were barraged in the closing weeks of
the campaign with radio appeals to turn out at the polls and send a
message to the politicians that they would no longer be taken for
granted. Trouble is, the appeals were coming from Republicans, and
those being accused of throwing black voters under the bus were
Democrats.
But even as blacks continue to show singular loyalty to the
Democratic Party, they make up an increasingly scant share of the
candidates offered for statewide office. The number of black
candidates shrank from 25 in 1998 to just 11 in 2000, three of whom
were Republicans.
The only two high-profile black candidates for office in 2002,
Ron Kirk in Texas and Carl McCall in New York, came up losers.
It's simple: Democrats have held black voters virtual hostages
for so long that they have forgotten that you can't get something
for nothing forever.
Black voters no longer see the point of turning out in large
numbers to support candidates who initially ignore them, belatedly
woo them and, ultimately, let them down.
Why support a party that can't manage to field or nominate more
than a handful of blacks for higher office, that pays scant
attention to blacks' concerns except when it's in trouble, that
sabotages, undermines and ditches the candidates blacks prefer.
Bill Clinton did great things for blacks, delivering record
wealth, government positions and homeownership. But he can't be
black folks' only friend forever. His party has to start delivering,
too.
Democrats had better rethink their relationship with the black
community; otherwise the separation that began on Nov. 5 could turn
into a divorce.
JOY-ANN LOMENA REID
Pembroke
Pines